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Anthropic Introduces New Indicator of AI Impact on Employment

A new metric reveals a gap between the theoretical capabilities of AI and its actual use in the workplace.

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Anthropic published a study on the impact of artificial intelligence on the labor market. The authors of the research, Maxim Massenkoff and Peter McCrory, analyzed about 800 occupations in the US.

The results showed that actual AI penetration into workflows noticeably lags behind its potential, although certain professions already demonstrate a high share of automatable tasks.

Where AI Actually Works

During the analysis, researchers focused on workflows where professionals actively use technologies in their daily tasks.

The study reveals that in IT professions, AI can theoretically cover 94% of tasks, but in practice, it handles only 33%.

Programmers see the highest coverage rate at around 75%. In customer support and data entry, the figure reaches 67%, while financial analysts also face significant exposure.

Currently, AI does not affect cooks, mechanics, lifeguards, bartenders, dishwashers, and cloakroom attendants.

How AI Impacts Employment

At the same time, Massenkoff and McCrory found signs of a hiring slowdown among young professionals aged 22-25 in exposed occupations. For instance, after the launch of ChatGPT, employment probability dropped by 14% compared to the unexposed group, where it remains stable at 2% per month.

This signal, barely reaching statistical significance, points to potential early disruptions, especially among recent graduates in fields like programming and financial analysis.

This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute advertising or investment advice. Please do your own research before making any decisions.

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