CryptoQuant analysts are recording capitulation among newcomers in the Bitcoin market. According to their observations, holders who bought BTC less than a month ago are exiting positions at a loss, while more experienced participants are holding the asset and locking in profits. This indicates a market cleanup from speculators and a redistribution of supply in favor of confident holders.
Selling on Fear
Onchain data shows that investors who entered Bitcoin less than a month ago are facing an average unrealized loss of -3,5%. In recent weeks, their share of total supply has significantly decreased — a clear sign of capitulation. Newcomers are selling under the pressure of fear, realizing losses during the downturn.
According to Glassnode analysts, in previous cycles (2017 and 2021), Bitcoin reached all-time highs just 2–3 months after the same point in the cycle. While the past does not guarantee a repeat, the current phase resembles the traditional “cutoffs” that precede new upward impulses.