João Vedson, CEO of Alphractal and market analyst, suggested that the current phase of Bitcoin growth could end as early as fall 2025. In the short term, he expects the price to fluctuate between $100,000 and $140,000. After that, the market may reverse downward.
Vedson recalled that back in 2024 he pointed to October 2025 as a potential endpoint for one of Bitcoin’s long-term fractal cycles. According to him, if this hypothesis is correct, the market could reach a local peak in the coming months.
He does not rule out that around this time the price may first drop to $100,000 and then sharply rise to a new all-time high above $140,000.
The analyst doubts whether the fractal model can withstand pressure from institutional demand and expectations surrounding ETFs. Vedson also mentioned that Elon Musk recently suggested that Donald Trump could trigger a bearish reversal in the fourth quarter of 2025.
He reminded that in 2021 Musk posted a cryptic prediction that coincided with Bitcoin’s peak at $69,000.
According to Vedson, part of the crypto community believes the traditional four-year cycle no longer applies. However, he himself considers it possible that the current rally will end with a strong correction in 2026, where the price could fall below $50,000.
In conclusion, the analyst stressed that everything said is only a theory, and only Bitcoin’s creator Satoshi Nakamoto may know what will actually happen.
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