• blockchain&beyond
  • news
  • 17 Oct 25

Bitcoin Sinks Below $105K, Analysts Warn of $100K Test

The crypto market has plunged again. Amid ongoing trade and financial tensions, prices of major tokens continue to fall.

0

nft.eu
  • rating +25
  • subscribers 111

The Fear and Greed Index currently reads 22 – signaling a zone of “extreme fear,” similar to sentiment on U.S. stock exchanges.

According to CoinMarketCap, BTC dropped 5.21% over the past 24 hours and is trading below $105 – its lowest level since early September. ETH fell 6.8% to settle below $4,000, trading around $3.727. Other major assets such as BNB, XRP, and Solana are also in decline.

The market is reacting to growing tension between the U.S. and China. Comments from President Donald Trump about the ongoing trade war have further pressured prices. Analysts note that concerns over the health of U.S. regional banks have added to the sell-off, contributing to declines in stock indexes and spilling over into crypto markets.

The Nasdaq and S&P 500 indexes lost 1.4% and 1.2%, respectively.

According to Reuters, U.S. stocks closed lower after reports of bad loans at regional lenders Zions Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp. Both institutions have reportedly become subjects of a fraud investigation involving the same group of borrowers.

Bitcoin Holds at the 200-Day EMA

Investor and entrepreneur Lark Davis noted that Bitcoin is currently sitting on its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which often acts as the dividing line between bulls and bears.

“Bulls need to hold this line. If they fail, we could see a test of $100,000 as support,” he said.
Analysis BTC/USD. Source: Lark Davis on Х
Analysis BTC/USD. Source: Lark Davis on Х

LVRG Research analyst Nick Ruck agrees that Bitcoin could drop below this level if global macroeconomic risks intensify.

He added that potential Federal Reserve policy easing and the approval of new spot crypto ETFs could support prices in the fourth quarter.

Market Sentiment and Prediction Odds

Overall, traders remain skeptical about Bitcoin recovering above $110,000 anytime soon. On prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of BTC falling below $100,000 is estimated at 55%, below $95,000 at 27%, and below $90,000 at 13%. Only 10% of traders believe the market will move higher.

If prices continue to decline, October could become the first negative month for Bitcoin since 2018.

This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute advertising or investment advice. Please do your own research before making any decisions.

0

Comments

0